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Predicting Disease Activity Scores in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Using Quantitative Systems Pharmacology
Doug Chung, PhD
Certara
Abstract
Quantitative Systems Pharmacology (QSP) models are typically used to guide dosing regimens based on the relationship between the drug PK/PD and disease-specific biomarkers. Using elements of AI/ML, our QSP Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) model can predict clinical endpoints enabling clinical trial simulations of untested dosing regimens, combination therapies, and trial designs. In this example, our disease activity score classifier can predict the Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) and Mayo Score for virtual populations matched to published clinical trials (CODEX). The mechanistic, multistate model simulates the immune cell and cytokine dynamics of the inflammatory immune response in the lamina propria of inflamed, active IBD. Together with our collaborators, the QSP IBD model has guided drug development from target validation to Phase II dosing to reach the right target at the right dose with the right action.
Find out more at: https://www.certara.com/app/uploads/2023/04/Certara_LL_Day1_DougChung_Presentation.pdf
*Contents*
00:00 - Introduction
05:06 - Predicting Disease Activity Scores in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Using Quantitative Systems Pharmacology
38:58 - Questions and Discussions
Moderator: James A. Glazier, PhD, Indiana University, Bloomington
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